Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.375277 1.574693 1.793600 2.051853 2.348374 2.678395 3.073874
2025-07-13 1.129754 1.399341 1.719657 2.128809 2.638378 3.253213 4.053123
2025-07-20 0.967157 1.281748 1.681919 2.229479 2.961311 3.908697 5.233237
2025-07-27 0.830804 1.168592 1.624902 2.288487 3.232767 4.534223 6.474738
2025-08-03 0.718672 1.066007 1.561105 2.321490 3.466219 5.135582 7.773829
2025-08-10 0.604696 0.940576 1.442931 2.253230 3.536565 5.505882 8.786596
2025-08-17 0.504564 0.819218 1.310733 2.139578 3.514182 5.723705 9.586071
2025-08-24 0.444258 0.750686 1.249140 2.125324 3.642484 6.189608 10.848333
2025-08-31 0.389508 0.682894 1.178338 2.083396 3.714570 6.566207 12.006801
2025-09-07 0.365860 0.664528 1.187356 2.178469 4.035042 7.410089 14.117958
2025-09-14 0.338453 0.635408 1.173014 2.228137 4.277561 8.142681 16.126370
2025-09-21 0.306518 0.593499 1.129643 2.216674 4.401109 8.665651 17.799973
2025-09-28 0.266371 0.531705 1.043021 2.113574 4.338550 8.833577 18.815137
2025-10-05 0.252062 0.518869 1.049417 2.197040 4.665141 9.828091 21.722130
2025-10-12 0.241231 0.511621 1.065926 2.303552 5.055338 11.010687 25.232228
2025-10-19 0.227129 0.495600 1.062183 2.366089 5.359023 12.050463 28.590428
2025-10-26 0.212065 0.475476 1.047044 2.401139 5.605724 12.997989 31.887391
2025-11-02 0.190466 0.438003 0.989222 2.330986 5.598470 13.359917 33.820668
2025-11-09 0.168085 0.395865 0.915626 2.213594 5.460982 13.391518 34.925028
2025-11-16 0.155112 0.374165 0.886422 2.198997 5.573520 14.048188 37.756511
2025-11-23 0.141691 0.349710 0.847721 2.155671 5.607299 14.511688 40.148595
2025-11-30 0.137746 0.348101 0.864066 2.254186 6.023215 16.021033 45.678084
2025-12-07 0.131412 0.339667 0.862436 2.305660 6.321256 17.261216 50.656050